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Live prediction market odds for Kentucky Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kentucky Senate winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Andy Barr (R)96¢1.04xKalshiCharles Booker (D)6¢16.67xPolymarket USCharles Booker (D)5¢20.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Andy Barr (R) about a 95.3% chance. Charles Booker (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Andy Barr (R) about a 95.3% chance. Charles Booker (D) follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Kentucky Senate winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the Senate and influence key legislative agendas.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
AB
Andy Barr (R)
95%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket97¢
PredictIt95¢
Kalshi1.05x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.0%95¢96¢5¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.9%95¢97¢4¢5¢
PredictItPredictIt
95.0%94¢95¢5¢6¢
CB
Charles Booker (D)
6%
—
Polymarket US6¢
—
PredictIt9¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PredictItPredictIt
5.0%4¢9¢91¢96¢
CB
Charles Booker (D)
4%
Kalshi5¢
—
Polymarket4¢
—
Kalshi19.23x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.2%5¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.7%3¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Charles Booker (D)

Charles Booker is a Democratic politician from Kentucky, currently running for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Mitch McConnell. He served in the Kentucky House of Representatives from 2019 to 2021, becoming the state's youngest Black state lawmaker. Booker's platform focuses on progressive policies such as universal healthcare, affordable housing, and economic justice.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms4
Candidates3
Leader

Andy Barr (R)

95.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kentucky Senate winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Kentucky. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Kentucky Senate race?

Odds are influenced by candidate polling, fundraising efforts, and endorsements. Additionally, national political trends and voter sentiment can significantly impact the race.

How do prediction markets work for elections like the Kentucky Senate?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares on the outcome of events, reflecting their beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning. Prices fluctuate based on new information and market sentiment.

What is at stake in the Kentucky Senate election?

Control of the Senate can determine the legislative priorities and the ability to pass significant policies. The outcome may also influence the political landscape heading into the next presidential election.

What does the Kentucky Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Kentucky Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Andy Barr (R): 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.9¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on PredictIt, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Charles Booker (D): 5.0¢ on PredictIt, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US; Charles Booker (D): 5.2¢ on Kalshi, 3.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Booker Hits 50% in Kentucky Senate Market After 46-Point Surge From 4%Bettors price a coin-flip race in a state Trump won by 30 points. The Beshear endorsement and primary win drove the repricing.Jul 16, 2026Will Booker Win Kentucky Senate? Markets Say 4% After McConnell CrisisBooker fell from 50% to 4% in 72 hours. A Kentucky law change requiring a special election for vacancies drove the collapse.Jul 13, 2026Will Booker Win Kentucky Senate? Markets Say 6%Booker's implied probability fell from 50% to 6% in three days. He lost to Rand Paul by 14 points in 2022; Kentucky hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1992.Jul 11, 2026Andy Barr's Senate Odds Drop 16 Points to 72% as Kentucky Race Gets RepricedNo scandal, no poll, no gaffe. Prediction markets slashed Andy Barr's implied probability from 88% to 72% in three days, and the catalyst remains unclear.Jun 10, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?WONPre-event: 86%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONCharles Booker (D)
Pre-event: 86%