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Live prediction market odds for KS-03 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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KS-03 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Sharice Davids (D)95¢1.05xPolymarket USEric Jenkins (R)4¢25.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Sharice Davids (D) about a 94.5% chance. Eric Jenkins (R) follows at 4.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Sharice Davids (D) about a 94.5% chance. Eric Jenkins (R) follows at 4.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KS-03 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SD
Sharice Davids (D)
95%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.5%92¢97¢4¢8¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.0%93¢95¢5¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
EJ
Eric Jenkins (R)
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US4¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.3%5¢6¢94¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Sharice Davids (D)

Sharice Davids is the U.S. Representative for Kansas's 3rd Congressional District, serving since 2019. She was the first openly LGBT Native American elected to Congress and the first Democrat to represent a Kansas congressional district in a decade. Davids has a track record of bipartisan legislation and leadership roles, including serving as the Chief Deputy Whip and ranking member of the House Agriculture Subcommittee on General Farm Commodities, Risk Management, and Credit.

About Eric Jenkins (R)

Eric Jenkins is a Republican candidate for Kansas's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He is a retired Army colonel with 34 years of active and reserve service, including deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan, and a career Federal Emergency Management Agency professional. His extensive military and emergency management experience underscores his commitment to national defense and public safety.

Smart Trade Router

$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Sharice Davids (D)

94.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: KS-03 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for KS-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the KS-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the KS-03 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

How do odds change for the KS-03 House winner?

Odds fluctuate based on candidate campaigning, voter sentiment, and other developments leading to the election date.

Which platforms are tracking the KS-03 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the KS-03 House winner market.

What does the KS-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest KS-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Sharice Davids (D): 93.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Eric Jenkins (R): 5.3¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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LOSTSharice Davids (D)
Pre-event: 3%