When will the KY-02 House race be resolved?

The KY-02 House race will be resolved based on the official election results announced after polls close on November 3, 2026.

What factors influence the odds for the KY-02 House winner?

Odds for the KY-02 House winner are influenced by candidate campaigns, local issues, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches.

Which platforms are tracking the KY-02 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the KY-02 House race winner, providing real-time odds and insights.

What does the KY-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest KY-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Brett Guthrie (R): 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; Megan Wingfield (D): 5.9¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do KY-02 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do KY-02 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Brett Guthrie (R) at 95.5¢ implies about a 95.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.