Live prediction market odds for KY-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Morgan McGarvey (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-03 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-03 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, when voters cast their ballots in this congressional election, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and local issues.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Morgan McGarvey (D)WINNER | Yes |
Maria Rodriguez (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for KY-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the KY-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The election for the KY-03 House seat is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will decide their representative.
Odds for the KY-03 House winner are influenced by candidate campaign activities, public opinion polls, and local issues that resonate with voters. Changes in these factors can lead to fluctuations in market prices.
The KY-03 House winner market is being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments leading up to the election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
