Live prediction market odds for KY-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ed Gallrein (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-04 House race, set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-04 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on which candidate receives the most votes in the election, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ed Gallrein (R)WINNER | Yes |
Melissa Claire Strange (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for KY-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the KY-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election takes place. The candidate with the most votes will be declared the winner.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter engagement. Significant events like debates or endorsements can also impact market prices.
The winner is determined by the total votes each candidate receives during the election. The candidate with the highest vote count will resolve the market as the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
