Live prediction market odds for KY-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Hal Rogers (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-05 House election, held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the KY-05 House election, held on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state election office following the voting process on that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Hal Rogers (R)WINNER | Yes |
Ned Pillersdorf (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for KY-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the KY-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced. This date marks the general election for the House seat.
Odds fluctuate based on factors such as candidate polling, campaign events, and voter sentiment leading up to the election. Significant developments in the race can impact the market prices.
The winner is determined by the total votes received by each candidate, as counted and certified by the state election office. The candidate with the most votes is declared the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
