Live prediction market odds for LA-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Republican Party was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-01 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-01 House election. The market resolves based on the official results announced after the election date of November 3, 2026, which will reflect the final vote counts from the district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Republican PartyWINNER | Yes |
Democratic Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for LA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the LA-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election results are officially announced.
Odds are influenced by polling data, campaign developments, and voter turnout leading up to the election.
The winner is determined by the official election results from the LA-01 district, as reported by election authorities.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
