Live prediction market odds for LA-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Democratic Party was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-02 House election, set to resolve on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-02 House election, set to resolve on November 3, 2026. The market will be determined by the official election results, which are influenced by campaign strategies, voter turnout, and local issues leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Democratic PartyWINNER | Yes |
Republican Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for LA-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the LA-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The winner will be determined on November 3, 2026, when the election takes place. Results will be based on the official count of votes.
Odds are influenced by campaign strategies, voter turnout, and local issues that arise in the lead-up to the election. Polling data and candidate performances can also affect market movements.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the LA-02 House election winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
