Live prediction market odds for LA-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Republican Party was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-04 House election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-04 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Republican PartyWINNER | Yes |
Democratic Party | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for LA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the LA-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House of Representatives.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaigning, polling data, and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the winner of the LA-04 House election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
