Live prediction market odds for LA-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-05 House election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-05 House election. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment in the region leading up to the 2026 elections.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Democratic Party | No result |
Other | No result |
Republican Party | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for LA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the LA-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout predictions. Polling data and local issues also play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, impacting legislative agendas. Additionally, it may signal trends in voter behavior that could affect future elections.
The election is set for November 3, 2026. This timing places it during a critical election cycle that could influence broader political dynamics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
