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Traders give Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026? about a 13.0% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 18.0 percentage points.
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.

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Traders give Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026? about a 13.0% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 18.0 percentage points.
Lai Ching-te would be considered out of office if he resigns, is removed through a vote of no confidence, or otherwise vacates the presidency before December 31, 2026.
Public sentiment influences the odds as it reflects voter approval ratings, political events, and any controversies surrounding Lai Ching-te's administration leading up to the deadline.
This market will resolve on December 31, 2026, based on whether Lai Ching-te is still in office at that time.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?: 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 22.0¢ on Opinion. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.