Los Angeles mayoral election: Nithya Raman vote percent (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: Nithya Raman vote percent (1st round)
Live prediction market odds for Los Angeles mayoral election: Nithya Raman vote percent (1st round). Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed Updated
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Kalshi is tracking the Los Angeles mayoral election focusing on Nithya Raman's vote percentage in the first round.
Kalshi is tracking the Los Angeles mayoral election focusing on Nithya Raman's vote percentage in the first round. The outcome will influence the political landscape of Los Angeles and could affect future policy directions in the city.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
10% - 15% | No result |
15% - 20% | No result |
20% - 25% | No result |
25% - 30% | No result |
30% - 35% | No result |
35% - 40% | No result |
5% - 10% | No result |
At least 40% | No result |
Below 5% | No result |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nithya Raman in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
Nithya Raman's vote percentage will determine her viability as a candidate in the mayoral race. A strong showing could lead to increased support and influence in local politics.
Polling data can significantly impact the odds as it reflects voter sentiment leading up to the election. Changes in public opinion can shift expectations about Raman's performance.
Factors such as campaign strategies, endorsements, and voter turnout will play crucial roles in determining her vote percentage. Additionally, current events and local issues may sway public opinion.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.