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Live prediction market odds for Louisiana Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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Louisiana Senate winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Julia Letlow (R)92¢1.09xKalshiJamie Davis (D)10¢10.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Julia Letlow (R) about a 92.0% chance. Jamie Davis (D) follows at 8.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Traders give Julia Letlow (R) about a 92.0% chance. Jamie Davis (D) follows at 8.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Louisiana Senate winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the Senate and influence future legislative agendas.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
JL
Julia Letlow (R)
92%
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket93¢
PredictIt97¢
Kalshi1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
90.9%90¢92¢8¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
92.0%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%92¢93¢7¢8¢
PredictItPredictIt
88.0%85¢97¢3¢15¢
JD
Jamie Davis (D)
8%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket8¢
PredictIt29¢
Kalshi10.53x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.9%8¢10¢91¢92¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
9.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PredictItPredictIt
9.0%3¢29¢71¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Julia Letlow (R)

Julia Letlow is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives for Louisiana's 5th congressional district. She became the first Republican woman elected to Congress from Louisiana in 2021. Letlow has been endorsed by President Trump in her bid for the U.S. Senate in 2026.

About Jamie Davis (D)

Jamie Davis is a third-generation crop farmer and member of the Louisiana Democratic State Central Committee. He served as vice president of the Tensas Parish Police Jury from 2015 to 2019. Davis has a track record of grassroots campaigning and has pledged to reject corporate PAC money.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
United States Congress
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Julia Letlow (R)

92.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Louisiana Senate winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
United States Congress
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Louisiana. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Louisiana Senate race?

Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and polling data leading up to the election. Additionally, national political trends and local issues may sway voter sentiment.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What is at stake in the Louisiana Senate election?

Control of the Senate is at stake, which can affect the passage of legislation and the confirmation of judicial appointments. The outcome may also influence party strategies leading into future elections.

What does the Louisiana Senate winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Louisiana Senate winner odds?

The latest available prices are Julia Letlow (R): 90.9¢ on Kalshi, 93.0¢ on Polymarket, 88.0¢ on PredictIt, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US; Jamie Davis (D): 8.9¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 9.0¢ on PredictIt, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?WONPre-event: 61%Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?WONPre-event: 99%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

Resolved

2026-04-18

WONJulia Letlow (R)
Pre-event: 61%

Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Resolved

2027-06-27

WONJulia Letlow (R)
Pre-event: 99%