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Live prediction market odds for MA-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MA-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Richard Neal (D)94¢1.06xPolymarket USRepublican6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Richard Neal (D) about a 94.6% chance. Republican follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Traders give Richard Neal (D) about a 94.6% chance. Republican follows at 5.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MA-01 House race. The outcome will be determined by the election held on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
RN
Richard Neal (D)
95%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.9%94¢98¢2¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.0%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
R
Republican
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi16.95x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.9%1¢6¢94¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Richard Neal (D)

Richard E. Neal is the U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district, serving since 1989. He chaired the House Ways and Means Committee from 2019 to 2023. Neal's extensive tenure and leadership in tax policy make him a key figure in Massachusetts politics.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Richard Neal (D)

94.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MA-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the MA-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the election for the MA-01 House race?

The election for the MA-01 House race is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for determining the winner.

How do odds change in the MA-01 House winner market?

Odds in the MA-01 House winner market can change based on candidate activities, polling data, and public sentiment. These factors influence how investors perceive the likelihood of each candidate's success.

Which platforms are tracking the MA-01 House winner event?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MA-01 House winner event. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market activity.

What does the MA-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MA-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Richard Neal (D): 95.9¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Republican: 5.9¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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