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Live prediction market odds for MA-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MA-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Dan Koh (D)95¢1.05xPolymarket USMicah Jones (R)7¢14.29xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Dan Koh (D) about a 95.1% chance. Micah Jones (R) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Dan Koh (D) about a 95.1% chance. Micah Jones (R) follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MA-06 House election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official certification of the election results by state election officials following the voting process on that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DK
Dan Koh (D)
95%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.3%93¢98¢2¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
94.0%93¢95¢5¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.9%95¢97¢3¢5¢
MJ
Micah Jones (R)ARB
5%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi13.51x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.9%2¢7¢93¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Dan Koh (D)

Dan Koh is the Democratic nominee for Massachusetts's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election. He previously served as Deputy Assistant to President Joe Biden and Deputy Director of the White House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs. Koh's extensive experience in federal and local government positions him as a strong candidate for this congressional seat.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Dan Koh (D)

95.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MA-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MA-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the winner in the MA-06 House election market?

The winner is determined by the official certification of the election results by state election officials. This certification occurs after the votes are counted on November 3, 2026.

When does the MA-06 House election take place?

The MA-06 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election for the House of Representatives.

Which platforms are tracking the MA-06 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MA-06 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.

What does the MA-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MA-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Dan Koh (D): 95.3¢ on Kalshi, 95.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Micah Jones (R): 4.9¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?WONPre-event: 86%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONDan Koh (D)
Pre-event: 86%