Live prediction market odds for MA-08 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-01
This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Stephen Lynch was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the MA-08 Democratic nominee ahead of the 2026 elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the MA-08 Democratic nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it will determine the Democratic candidate who will compete in a key congressional district, influencing party dynamics and voter turnout.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Stephen LynchWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Patrick Roath | 1% | 20% |
Andrew Zylberfink | — | 0% |
Stephen Lynch
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Stephen Lynch wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MA-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, local issues and voter sentiment in the district can sway predictions.
Historically, MA-08 has leaned Democratic, but voter turnout and candidate appeal can affect election outcomes. The district's demographics and key issues play a crucial role in shaping voter preferences.
The nomination process typically includes primary elections held in the spring of 2026. Candidates will campaign throughout 2025, with debates and fundraising efforts ramping up as the primary date approaches.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Stephen Lynch: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 80.0¢ on Polymarket; Patrick Roath: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 20.0¢ on Polymarket; Andrew Zylberfink: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
