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Live prediction market odds for Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Polymarket.

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Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

2026-09-01

About This Market

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Polymarket.

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Polymarket.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment in the state leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Alexander RikleenNo
Ayanna PressleyNo
CA
Candidate A
single venue
Polymarket100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
CB
Candidate B
single venue
Polymarket100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
CC
Candidate C
single venue
Polymarket100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Ed Markey

Ed Markey is the junior U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, serving since 2013. He previously represented Massachusetts in the U.S. House of Representatives for 37 years. He is running for re-election in 2026.

Prediction Market Track Record

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?WONPre-event: 95%

About Seth Moulton

Seth Moulton is the U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 6th congressional district. He served four tours in Iraq as a Marine Corps officer. He announced his candidacy for the 2026 U.S. Senate Democratic primary in Massachusetts on October 15, 2025.

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 3%Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?LOSTPre-event: 9%

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates19
Leader

Alexander Rikleen

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ayanna Pressley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes If Seth Moulton wins the Democratic nomination to contest the 2026 Massachusetts Senate Seat. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign events significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in public opinion and national political trends can alter market perceptions.

When is the election for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

The election for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee is scheduled for September 1, 2026. This timeline allows candidates ample opportunity to campaign and engage with voters.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.

What does the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Candidate A: 50.0¢ on Polymarket; Candidate B: 50.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Resolved

2026-09-01

LOSTSeth Moulton
Pre-event: 9%

Who will be the Democratic nominee for MA-06 in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTSeth Moulton
Pre-event: 3%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Markey Hits 77% for Mass. Senate Nod as Poll Lead Shrinks to 6 PointsMarkets climbed 9 points in three days despite Markey's polling margin halving since April. He carried 39 of 40 senatorial districts at the state convention.Jul 23, 2026Markey Drops 11 Points to 69% After First Moulton Debate Despite Convention WinA 73% convention endorsement and Sanders backing weren't enough to prevent bettors from repricing Markey's nomination odds after the Chicopee faceoff.Jul 15, 2026Moulton Hits 28% After Debate as Massachusetts Senate Primary TightensMarkets repriced Moulton from 18% to 28% in 72 hours; Markey still leads polling 39–33.5% with the September 1 primary 54 days out.Jul 9, 2026Moulton Drops to 24% in Senate Markets Despite Polling Within 5 PointsA 73-27 convention loss triggered a 12-point selloff, but an Emerson poll shows Moulton trailing by just 5 points with 29% of voters undecided.Jun 15, 2026