Live prediction market odds for Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-01
This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Michael Minogue was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies in a state known for its Democratic leanings, making this nomination crucial for the GOP's future in Massachusetts.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Michael MinogueWINNER | 100% | 99% |
Brian Shortsleeve | 0% | 1% |
Mike Kennealy | 1% | 0% |
Bruce Tarr | 0% | — |
Karyn Polito | 0% | — |
Lewis Evangelidis | 0% | — |
Michael Soter | 0% | — |
Peter Durant | 0% | — |
Michael Minogue
99.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Mike Kennealy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Massachusetts Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements. Polling data and public sentiment also play significant roles in determining market movements.
The Republican nominee will set the tone for the party's campaign strategy against the Democratic candidate. A strong nominee could energize the base and potentially attract undecided voters.
The nomination process will culminate in the lead-up to the September 2026 election. Candidates will participate in primaries and debates leading up to the final selection.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Michael Minogue: 99.9¢ on Kalshi, 99.4¢ on Polymarket; Brian Shortsleeve: 0.1¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket; Mike Kennealy: 0.8¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Bruce Tarr: 0.2¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
