Live prediction market odds for MD-01 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Andy Harris (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MD-01 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MD-01 House election. This election will be resolved on November 3, 2026, based on the official results announced by the Maryland State Board of Elections.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Andy Harris (R)WINNER | Yes |
Dan Schwartz (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MD-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MD-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The MD-01 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots.
The winner will be determined by the official election results released by the Maryland State Board of Elections. These results will confirm which candidate receives the most votes.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MD-01 House election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
