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Live prediction market odds for MD-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MD-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Andy Harris (R)91¢1.10xKalshiDan Schwartz (D)10¢10.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Andy Harris (R) about a 90.1% chance. Dan Schwartz (D) follows at 9.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Traders give Andy Harris (R) about a 90.1% chance. Dan Schwartz (D) follows at 9.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MD-01 House election. This election will be resolved on November 3, 2026, based on the official results announced by the Maryland State Board of Elections.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AH
Andy Harris (R)
90%
Kalshi91¢
—
Polymarket91¢
Kalshi1.10x91¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
90.2%89¢91¢9¢11¢
PolymarketPolymarket
90.0%89¢91¢9¢11¢
DS
Dan Schwartz (D)
10%
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket11¢
Polymarket US10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.6%9¢12¢88¢91¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.0%9¢11¢89¢91¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Andy Harris (R)

Andy Harris is the U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district, serving since 2011. He previously served in the Maryland State Senate from 1999 to 2011. As a physician and former Naval Reserve medical officer, he brings a background in medicine and military service to his legislative role.

About Dan Schwartz (D)

Dan Schwartz is a consumer advocate and Democratic candidate for Maryland's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. He previously served as Senior Director of Nonbank Supervision & Enforcement at the Conference of State Bank Supervisors, working with state and federal regulators to protect consumers from financial misconduct. His expertise in consumer protection and financial regulation positions him as a strong contender in this race.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.6%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Andy Harris (R)

90.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MD-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MD-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MD-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the MD-01 House election?

The MD-01 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots.

How will the winner of the MD-01 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results released by the Maryland State Board of Elections. These results will confirm which candidate receives the most votes.

What platforms are tracking the MD-01 House election?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MD-01 House election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.

What does the MD-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MD-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Andy Harris (R): 90.2¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket; Dan Schwartz (D): 10.6¢ on Kalshi, 10.0¢ on Polymarket, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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