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Live prediction market odds for MD-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MD-07 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Kweisi Mfume (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USScott Collier (R)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Kweisi Mfume (D) about a 96.6% chance. Scott Collier (R) follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Kweisi Mfume (D) about a 96.6% chance. Scott Collier (R) follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MD-07 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced on November 3, 2026, following the voting process in Maryland's 7th congressional district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
KM
Kweisi Mfume (D)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.1%95¢99¢1¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.3%96¢97¢3¢4¢
SC
Scott Collier (R)
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi23.26x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.7%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Kweisi Mfume (D)

Kweisi Mfume is the U.S. Representative for Maryland's 7th congressional district, serving since 2020. He previously held this position from 1987 to 1996 and was President and CEO of the NAACP from 1996 to 2004. Mfume is currently the Ranking Member of the House Oversight Subcommittee on Government Operations and serves on the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Kweisi Mfume (D)

96.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MD-07 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MD-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MD-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the MD-07 House election?

The MD-07 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election for congressional seats.

How will the winner of the MD-07 House election be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results announced after the voting concludes. Votes will be counted and certified by the appropriate election authorities.

What platforms are tracking the MD-07 House election?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MD-07 House election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment leading up to the election.

What does the MD-07 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MD-07 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Kweisi Mfume (D): 97.1¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on Polymarket US; Scott Collier (R): 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.7¢ on Polymarket, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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