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Live prediction market odds for MD-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MD-08 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Jamie Raskin (D)96¢1.04xPolymarket USCheryl Riley (R)3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Jamie Raskin (D) about a 96.8% chance. Cheryl Riley (R) follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Traders give Jamie Raskin (D) about a 96.8% chance. Cheryl Riley (R) follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MD-08 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the counting of votes in the district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JR
Jamie Raskin (D)
97%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.2%96¢99¢1¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%95¢99¢1¢5¢
CR
Cheryl Riley (R)
2%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.7%0¢3¢97¢100¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%1¢5¢95¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Jamie Raskin (D)

Jamie Raskin is the U.S. Representative for Maryland's 8th Congressional District, serving his fifth term in the 119th Congress. He previously served as a three-term Maryland State Senator and was the lead impeachment manager in the second impeachment trial of President Donald Trump. Raskin is currently the Ranking Member of the House Judiciary Committee, overseeing legislative matters related to civil rights and the rule of law.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Jamie Raskin (D)

96.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MD-08 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MD-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MD-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the MD-08 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the MD-08 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What determines the outcome of the MD-08 House winner market?

The outcome is determined by the official election results from the MD-08 district after the votes are counted.

What does the MD-08 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MD-08 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Jamie Raskin (D): 97.2¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cheryl Riley (R): 1.7¢ on Kalshi, 3.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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