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Live prediction market odds for ME-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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ME-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Chellie Pingree (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USRonald Russell (R)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Chellie Pingree (D) about a 96.5% chance. Ronald Russell (R) follows at 2.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Chellie Pingree (D) about a 96.5% chance. Ronald Russell (R) follows at 2.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the ME-01 House race, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official announcement of the election results, which will be influenced by voter turnout and campaign dynamics leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CP
Chellie Pingree (D)
96%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.3%95¢98¢2¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.0%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
RR
Ronald Russell (R)
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.3%1¢3¢97¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.9%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Chellie Pingree (D)

Chellie Pingree is the U.S. Representative for Maine's 1st Congressional District, serving since 2009. She was previously the Maine Senate Majority Leader from 1996 to 2000. As a member of the House Appropriations Committee, she chairs the Subcommittee on Interior and the Environment, focusing on environmental and agricultural issues.

About Ronald Russell (R)

Ronald Russell is a defense contractor from Kennebunkport, Maine. He served 30 years in the U.S. Army before founding his own defense contracting business. Russell is the Republican nominee for Maine's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Chellie Pingree (D)

96.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: ME-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for ME-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the ME-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the ME-01 House election?

The ME-01 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots.

How will the winner of the ME-01 House race be determined?

The winner will be determined by the official election results announced after the polls close. This announcement typically occurs on the same night as the election.

What factors could influence the odds for the ME-01 House race?

Odds may fluctuate based on campaign activities, voter sentiment, and polling data leading up to the election. Key events such as debates and endorsements can also impact market movements.

What does the ME-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest ME-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Chellie Pingree (D): 95.3¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; Ronald Russell (R): 3.3¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

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Historical Track Record

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Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTChellie Pingree (D)
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2026-06-09

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Pre-event: 0%