ME-02 House winner?
Live prediction market odds for ME-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Market closed Listed Updated
This market resolved. Paul LePage (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the ME-02 House election held on June 9, 2026.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the ME-02 House election held on June 9, 2026. This election will determine representation in Congress, with implications for party control and legislative agendas at stake.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Paul LePage (R)WINNER | Yes |
Matthew Dunlap (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for ME-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the ME-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Factors include voter demographics, past election results, and candidate popularity. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can impact voter turnout and preferences.
Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events. Significant news can lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment.
The ME-02 House seat is crucial for both major parties as it can influence the overall balance of power in Congress. Winning this seat may also provide momentum for the party in future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.