Live prediction market odds for ME-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / PredictIt
2026-06-09
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the ME-02 House election scheduled for June 9, 2026. This election will determine representation in Congress, with implications for party control and legislative agendas at stake.
Republican party leads the “ME-02 House winner” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 43.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include voter demographics, past election results, and candidate popularity. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can impact voter turnout and preferences.
Odds can fluctuate frequently as new information emerges, such as polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events. Significant news can lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment.
The ME-02 House seat is crucial for both major parties as it can influence the overall balance of power in Congress. Winning this seat may also provide momentum for the party in future elections.
ME-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Republican party leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 44%.
Republican party currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican party
55.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for ME-2 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
