Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for MI-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

MI-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

John Moolenaar (R)98¢1.02xKalshiDemocratic3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give John Moolenaar (R) about a 97.1% chance. Democratic follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give John Moolenaar (R) about a 97.1% chance. Democratic follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-02 House election. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JM
John Moolenaar (R)
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US98¢
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.0%95¢98¢2¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
97.5%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.0%98¢98¢2¢2¢
D
Democratic
2%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi34.48x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.9%1¢3¢97¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
2.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.8%1¢1¢99¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About John Moolenaar (R)

John Moolenaar is the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 2nd Congressional District. He previously served as the Representative for the 4th District from 2015 to 2023. Moolenaar chairs the House Select Committee on the Strategic Competition Between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

John Moolenaar (R)

97.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MI-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the MI-02 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the MI-02 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MI-02 House election winner.

What factors influence the odds for the MI-02 House election?

Odds fluctuate based on campaign developments, voter sentiment, and polling data as the election date approaches.

What does the MI-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are John Moolenaar (R): 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Democratic: 1.9¢ on Kalshi, 0.8¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

TX-21 House Election Winner

View

2026 US Senate Control

View

Idaho Governor Election Winner

View

2026 California Governor Election

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Moolenaar Hits 98% in MI-02 After Challenger Wins Split Primary with 44%Ambrose took the Democratic nomination with 44.3%, leaving more than half of primary voters behind. Moolenaar holds $1.9M cash on hand in a Safe R seat.Sep 27, 2026Moolenaar's 22-to-1 Cash Edge Locks Up MI-02 at 98%Benjamin Ambrose has $85K against Moolenaar's $1.9M with six weeks out. No outside Democratic spending has materialized to close the gap.Sep 25, 2026