Live prediction market odds for MI-04 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 5, 2026. Sean McCann (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-04 House election set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-04 House election set for November 2026. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress, influenced by voter sentiment and party strategies leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Sean McCann (D)WINNER | Yes |
Bill Huizenga (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MI-4 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Voter turnout, party affiliation, and campaign strategies will play significant roles in determining the election outcome. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway public opinion.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their beliefs about the probabilities of various outcomes. As new information emerges, such as polling data or candidate announcements, the odds can fluctuate.
The MI-04 House seat is pivotal for both parties as it contributes to the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Control of this seat could influence legislative priorities and party power dynamics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
