Live prediction market odds for MI-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Tim Walberg (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-05 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-05 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the final vote count in the district.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Tim Walberg (R)WINNER | Yes |
Christian Vukasovich (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MI-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The MI-05 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.
Odds for the MI-05 House winner are influenced by polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events leading up to the election. Changes in voter sentiment can also impact market prices.
The winner is determined by the total number of votes received in the MI-05 district during the election. The candidate with the highest vote count will be declared the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
