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Live prediction market odds for MI-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MI-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Debbie Dingell (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USHeather Smiley (R)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Debbie Dingell (D) about a 96.3% chance. Heather Smiley (R) follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Traders give Debbie Dingell (D) about a 96.3% chance. Heather Smiley (R) follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-06 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DD
Debbie Dingell (D)
96%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.9%95¢99¢1¢5¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
HS
Heather Smiley (R)
2%
Kalshi6¢
—
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi17.54x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Debbie Dingell (D)

Debbie Dingell is the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 6th Congressional District, serving since January 3, 2025. She previously represented Michigan's 12th Congressional District from 2015 to 2023. As Chair of the House Democratic Policy and Communications Committee, she leads on issues including affordable healthcare, clean energy, and domestic manufacturing.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.4%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Debbie Dingell (D)

96.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MI-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the MI-06 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results from the MI-06 House race. This election takes place on November 3, 2026.

How do candidate campaigns affect the odds for the MI-06 House winner?

Odds for the MI-06 House winner fluctuate based on candidate campaign activities and voter sentiment. Key events such as debates and endorsements can significantly impact market prices.

When will the MI-06 House winner market close?

The market will close after the polls close on November 3, 2026. Official results will determine the final outcome.

What does the MI-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Debbie Dingell (D): 96.9¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Heather Smiley (R): 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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