Live prediction market odds for MI-08 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-08 House race set for November 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-08 House race set for November 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative agendas and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Thomas J. Smith (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MI-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and national trends also play a significant role in shaping voter sentiment.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities. A change in control may lead to significant policy changes on key issues.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, where multiple federal and state offices are contested.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
