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Live prediction market odds for MI-10 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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MI-10 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Christina Hines (D)63¢1.59xPolymarket USMichael Bouchard Jr (R)35¢2.86xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Christina Hines (D) about a 64.7% chance. Michael Bouchard Jr (R) follows at 34.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.5 percentage points.

Traders give Christina Hines (D) about a 64.7% chance. Michael Bouchard Jr (R) follows at 34.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MI-10 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will play a crucial role in determining party control in Congress, influencing legislative agendas and national policies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
CH
Christina Hines (D)ARB
65%
Kalshi66¢
Polymarket US63¢
Polymarket66¢
PredictIt99¢
Polymarket US1.59x63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
63.0%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
PredictItPredictIt
74.5%50¢99¢1¢50¢
MB
Michael Bouchard Jr (R)
35%
Kalshi35¢
Polymarket US35¢
Polymarket35¢
PredictIt60¢
Kalshi2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
34.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
35.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢
PredictItPredictIt
31.0%2¢60¢40¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Candidate Spotlight

About Christina Hines (D)

Christina Hines is a prosecutor and law professor. She previously served as a special victims prosecutor in Wayne and Washtenaw counties. Hines is a candidate for Michigan's 10th Congressional District in the 2026 general election.

About Michael Bouchard Jr (R)

Michael Bouchard Jr. is a Republican candidate for Michigan's 10th Congressional District in the 2026 elections. He is an Army captain and paratrooper with nearly 10 years of military service, including a nine-month deployment to Iraq. His military background and candidacy for Congress in Michigan's 10th District are relevant to this prediction market.

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Resolution Oracles

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Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread11.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Christina Hines (D)

64.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-10 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MI-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MI-10 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MI-10 House race?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, polling data, and campaign funding. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout projections play a significant role.

How does the MI-10 House race impact congressional control?

Winning the MI-10 seat could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. This can affect the passage of legislation and the overall political climate.

When is the MI-10 House election taking place?

The MI-10 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.

What does the MI-10 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-10 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Christina Hines (D): 65.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 74.5¢ on PredictIt, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US; Michael Bouchard Jr (R): 34.0¢ on Kalshi, 34.5¢ on Polymarket, 31.0¢ on PredictIt, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Democrats Favored at 64% to Flip MI-10 After 9-Point Market SurgeDemocratic odds in MI-10 climbed from 55% to 64% in 72 hours with no public news catalyst, per Polymarket and Kalshi data.Jul 4, 2026Republican Party Climbs to 42% in MI-10 House Race on Silent 8-Point SurgeGOP odds jumped from 34% to 42% in three days with no news catalyst, suggesting traders are correcting a mispricing of the district's partisan lean.Jun 29, 2026Republicans Favored at 46% to Win MI-10, Up 10 Points in 3 DaysKalshi prices Republicans at 33% while Polymarket has them at 58% — a 25-point spread on the same open Michigan seat rated Lean R.Jun 24, 2026Democrats Hit 62% in MI-10 Despite Never Winning the DistrictA 10pp surge in 3 days prices a 9-point partisan swing in an R+3 open seat, even as the lone public poll shows Republicans ahead by two points.Jun 22, 2026