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Live prediction market odds for MI-10 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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MI-10 Republican nominee?

2026-08-04

About This Market

MI-10 Republican nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

MI-10 Republican nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the MI-10 Republican nominee for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies in a crucial battleground district, impacting broader electoral trends.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
JK
Justin Kirk
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
MB
Mike Bouchard
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
RL
Robert Lulgjuraj
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
SD
Steffan Demetropoulos
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Leader

Justin Kirk

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-10 Republican nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Michael Bouchard wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MI-10 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MI-10 Republican nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors. Changes in voter sentiment and local issues also play a significant role.

How does the MI-10 district impact the Republican Party?

The MI-10 district is considered a battleground, making it vital for both parties. Winning this seat could shift control in Congress and influence national policies.

What is the timeline for the MI-10 Republican nomination process?

The nomination process will culminate in the primary elections scheduled for August 2026. Candidates will ramp up their campaigns leading up to this date.

What does the MI-10 Republican nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-10 Republican nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Justin Kirk: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Mike Bouchard: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Robert Lulgjuraj: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Steffan Demetropoulos: 2.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Lulgjuraj Drops From 15% to 6% to Win MI-10 GOP PrimaryA 9-point collapse over three days, with Kalshi pricing him at 8% and Polymarket at 4%, points to informed selling rather than news-driven repricing.Jul 5, 2026Lulgjuraj MI-10 GOP Nomination Odds Drop to 8% With No Public CauseLulgjuraj fell from 16% to 8% on both Kalshi and Polymarket between June 30 and July 3, with the August 4 primary just 32 days out.Jul 3, 2026Bouchard at 80% in MI-10 GOP Primary as Unexplained Swings Raise QuestionsNo public poll exists for this August 4 race; Bouchard's odds have swung 35 points across four moves since late May, each lacking a clear catalyst.Jun 26, 2026Bouchard Slips to 73% Favorite to Win MI-10 Republican PrimaryAn 8-point drop in three days, no negative news to explain it. Lulgjuraj holds $822K cash on hand versus Bouchard's $847K, near parity.Jun 20, 2026