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Live prediction market odds for MI-11 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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MI-11 Democratic nominee?

2026-08-04

About This Market

MI-11 Democratic nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

MI-11 Democratic nominee: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the MI-11 Democratic nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a focal point for political analysts and voters alike.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
AF
Aisha Farooqi
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.2%0¢100¢0¢100¢
AL
Andy Levin
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢100¢0¢100¢
DW
Dave Woodward
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JM
Jeremy Moss
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.8%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Andy Levin

Andy Levin is a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress. He served as the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 9th District from 2019 to 2023. He is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the MI-11 Democratic nomination.

About Dave Woodward

Dave Woodward is the Chair of the Oakland County Board of Commissioners. He served as a Michigan State Representative from 1999 to 2004. He is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 11th Congressional District.

About Jeremy Moss

Jeremy Moss is the President Pro Tempore of the Michigan Senate, representing the 7th district. He previously served as a member of the Michigan House of Representatives and was the Assistant Democratic Leader in the Senate. He is running for Michigan's 11th Congressional District seat in the 2026 election cycle.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates4
Leader

Aisha Farooqi

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Aisha Farooqi wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-11 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors that shape the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and campaign strategies can significantly impact predictions.

How does the MI-11 Democratic nominee affect the general election?

The nominee will represent the Democratic Party in a competitive district, influencing voter turnout and party cohesion. A strong candidate could enhance the party's chances in the general election.

When is the MI-11 Democratic nomination decision expected?

The nomination decision is expected to be finalized by August 2026, ahead of the general election. This timeline allows candidates to campaign effectively and engage with voters.

What does the MI-11 Democratic nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MI-11 Democratic nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Aisha Farooqi: 0.2¢ on Kalshi; Andy Levin: 0.5¢ on Kalshi; Dave Woodward: 0.5¢ on Kalshi; Jeremy Moss: 99.8¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Jeremy Moss MI-11 Nomination Odds Fall 12 Points in 72 HoursMoss dropped from 88% to 76% on Kalshi and Polymarket with no public catalyst. Kalshi prices him at 79%; Polymarket at 72%.Jul 8, 2026Jeremy Moss's MI-11 Democratic Primary Odds Fall 9 Points, No Catalyst FoundMoss slipped from 96% to 87% on Kalshi in 72 hours. The period low hit 81%, briefly pricing his non-nomination odds near one in five.Jul 4, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Democratic nominee for Senate in Michigan in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Democratic nominee for Senate in Michigan in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTAndy Levin
Pre-event: 1%