Live prediction market odds for Michigan Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Resolved 2026-08-04
This market resolved on 2026-08-04. John James was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Michigan Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Michigan Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and campaign strategies as candidates vie for the nomination ahead of the general election in 2026.
| Candidate |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
John JamesWINNER | 98% | 95% | 96% | 97% |
Perry Johnson | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
John James
96.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf John James wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if John James wins the Republican nomination to contest the 2026 election for Governor of Michigan. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in Michigan can sway voter preferences.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as political nominations. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The nominee will represent the Republican Party in a key gubernatorial race, impacting state policies and governance. The outcome could also influence national political trends and the party's strategy in future elections.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are John James: 98.4¢ on Kalshi, 96.3¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on PredictIt, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Perry Johnson: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.9¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on PredictIt, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
