Live prediction market odds for Michigan Senate winner?. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Michigan Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Michigan Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and shape legislative priorities for years to come.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person A | No result |
Person B | No result |
Person C | No result |
Person D | No result |
Person E | No result |
Person F | No result |
Person G | No result |
Person H | No result |
Person I | No result |
Person J | No result |
Mike Rogers (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Michigan. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:00:49.294573259Z
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and polling data. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcome could determine which party controls the Senate, impacting legislative agendas and confirmations. Michigan's political landscape is often seen as a bellwether for national trends.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
