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Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

2026-08-11

About This Market

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner for the upcoming election on August 11, 2026. This primary will play a crucial role in determining the Democratic candidate who will compete for a Senate seat, influencing party dynamics and legislative priorities.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
AC
Angie Craig
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
BM
Betty McCollum
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
DW
David Wellstone
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
IO
Ilhan Omar
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JF
Jacob Frey
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About Angie Craig

Angie Craig is a Democratic U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District. She was elected as the first woman and openly LGBTQ+ ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee in December 2024. Craig is running for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Senator Tina Smith in the 2026 election.

About Peggy Flanagan

Peggy Flanagan is the Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota and a member of the White Earth Band of Ojibwe. She served in the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2015 to 2019. She is running for the U.S. Senate in 2026.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates9
Leader

Angie Craig

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Peggy Flanagan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Minnesota Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

If Peggy Flanagan wins the DemocraticFarmerLabor nomination to contest the 2026 Minnesota Senate Seat, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified from relevant party authorities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds in the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and current political issues in Minnesota can shift market predictions.

How does the primary affect the general election?

The winner of the primary will represent the Democratic Party in the general election, impacting the party's chances of retaining or gaining a Senate seat. This can also influence national party strategies and resource allocation.

What is the timeline for the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary?

The primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026, with candidates campaigning intensively in the months leading up to the election. Key dates include filing deadlines, debates, and voter registration periods.

What does the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Angie Craig: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Betty McCollum: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; David Wellstone: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Ilhan Omar: 0.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds
No price history available

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Angie Craig Hits 26% to Win Minnesota Senate PrimaryCraig's win probability climbed from 16% to 26% in three days. The only public poll shows her down 7 points to Flanagan with 21% undecided.Aug 9, 2026Craig Hits 30% to Win Minnesota Senate Primary Despite 7-Point Poll DeficitCraig's odds doubled from 14% to 30% in three days. No public catalyst explains the move, but her campaign holds $4.9M cash on hand.Aug 7, 2026Will Craig Win Minnesota's Senate Primary at 22% Odds Despite a 17-Point Poll Gap?Craig's odds tripled from an 8% floor this month. Flanagan leads 55-38 in polling but holds only $1.1M cash to Craig's $4.9M.Jun 18, 2026