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Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

2026-08-11

Best price · tap to trade

Lisa Demuth73¢1.37xKalshiMike Lindell28¢3.57xKalshiKendall Qualls0¢Kalshi

About This Market

Traders give Lisa Demuth about a 72.7% chance. Mike Lindell follows at 32.0% and Kendall Qualls follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.

Traders give Lisa Demuth about a 72.7% chance. Mike Lindell follows at 32.0% and Kendall Qualls follows at 0.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Minnesota Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and campaign strategies as candidates vie for support in a critical political landscape.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
LD
Lisa DemuthARB
73%
Kalshi73¢
Polymarket US73¢
Polymarket73¢
PredictIt68¢
Kalshi1.37x73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
72.5%72¢73¢27¢28¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
73.0%71¢73¢27¢29¢
PolymarketPolymarket
72.5%72¢73¢27¢28¢
PredictItPredictIt
66.0%65¢68¢32¢35¢
ML
Mike LindellARB
32%
Kalshi28¢
Polymarket US31¢
Polymarket38¢
PredictIt33¢
Kalshi3.57x28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
27.5%27¢28¢72¢73¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
31.0%30¢31¢69¢70¢
PolymarketPolymarket
37.5%37¢38¢62¢63¢
PredictItPredictIt
32.0%30¢33¢67¢70¢
KQ
Kendall Qualls
1%
—
—
Polymarket2¢
PredictIt2¢
Kalshi250.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
—0¢—100¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.0%0¢2¢98¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth is the Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives, a position she has held since February 2025. Prior to this, she served as the Minority Leader from 2023 to 2025 and has represented District 13A since 2019. She is currently a candidate for the Republican nomination in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.

About Kendall Qualls

Kendall Qualls is a Republican candidate for Minnesota governor in the 2026 election. He previously ran for governor in 2022 and for U.S. Representative in 2020. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is actively campaigning for the Republican nomination.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread10.0%
Platforms4
Candidates3
Leader

Lisa Demuth

72.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Lisa Demuth wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Lisa Demuth wins the Republican nomination to contest the 2026 election for Governor of Minnesota. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and party support play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, local and national political trends can impact voter sentiment.

How does the nomination process work for the Minnesota Republican Governor?

Candidates typically go through a series of primaries and caucuses leading up to the state convention. Delegates are then selected to support their preferred nominee.

Why is the Minnesota Republican Governor nominee important?

The nominee will represent the party in the general election, influencing policy direction and party unity. Their success could also affect future elections and the political landscape in Minnesota.

What does the Minnesota Republican Governor nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Minnesota Republican Governor nominee odds?

The latest available prices are Lisa Demuth: 72.5¢ on Kalshi, 72.5¢ on Polymarket, 66.0¢ on PredictIt, 73.0¢ on Polymarket US; Mike Lindell: 27.5¢ on Kalshi, 37.5¢ on Polymarket, 32.0¢ on PredictIt, 31.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kendall Qualls: 0.3¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Can Demuth Win the Minnesota GOP Governor Primary Without Party Endorsement?Demuth sits at 28% on prediction markets, backed by $543K cash and Uihlein money, three days before the August 11 primary.Aug 8, 2026Will Mike Lindell Win the Minnesota GOP Governor Primary?Markets price Lindell at 64% after Trump's July 15 endorsement. A SurveyUSA poll shows him leading at 27%, but he remains registered to vote in Texas.Jul 30, 2026Lindell Hits 58% for MN GOP Nod as Demuth's Broken Pledge Splits the FieldA SurveyUSA poll already showed Lindell leading at 27% before the Demuth-Qualls schism turned a two-man race into a three-way gift for Trump's pick.Jul 27, 2026Lindell Hits 51% for Minnesota GOP Governor Nod Despite Party Backing QuallsTrump's endorsement and a 27% primary poll lead have driven Lindell's odds up 14pp in three days, overriding the state GOP's formal endorsement of Kendall Qualls.Jul 24, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?WONPre-event: 57%

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 18%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTKendall Qualls
Pre-event: 18%