What is the resolution date for the MN-04 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the MN-04 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MN-04 House winner market.

What factors influence the odds in the MN-04 House race market?

Odds in this market are influenced by candidate polling, campaign events, and voter turnout leading up to the election.

What does the MN-04 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MN-04 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Betty McCollum (D): 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.2¢ on Polymarket; Paul Wikstrom (R): 5.6¢ on Kalshi, 3.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do MN-04 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do MN-04 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Betty McCollum (D) at 95.1¢ implies about a 95.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.