Live prediction market odds for MN-05 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Ilhan Omar (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-05 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-05 House election. This election will be resolved based on the official results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026, and odds fluctuate with candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Ilhan Omar (D)WINNER | Yes |
John Nagel (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MN-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MN-05 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026. The candidate with the most votes will be declared the winner.
Candidate campaigns influence voter sentiment and can lead to fluctuations in the odds as new polls and endorsements are released. Increased visibility or support for a candidate typically results in rising odds.
Polls for the MN-05 House election close on November 3, 2026. The timing of the closure is critical for determining when the market will resolve.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
