Live prediction market odds for MN-06 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Tom Emmer (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-06 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MN-06 House election. The market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the vote.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Tom Emmer (R)WINNER | Yes |
Doug Chapin (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MN-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MN-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The MN-06 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when the official results will determine the winner.
Odds in this market change based on candidate campaigning, polling data, and public sentiment. Events such as debates or endorsements can significantly impact the odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MN-06 House election. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market activity.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
