Live prediction market odds for MN-08 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Pete Stauber (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Minnesota's 8th Congressional District in the 2026 elections.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Minnesota's 8th Congressional District in the 2026 elections. The outcome will be determined by the election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Pete Stauber (R)WINNER | Yes |
Trina Swanson (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MN-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MN-08 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The winner will be decided on November 3, 2026, during the general election. This date is crucial for all candidates competing in the district.
Odds are influenced by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter engagement in the lead-up to the election. Significant events or debates can also shift market perceptions.
Polymarket and Kalshi are currently tracking the MN-08 House winner market. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
