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Live prediction market odds for MO-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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MO-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Democratic100¢1.00xKalshiRepublican6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Democratic about a 97.3% chance. Republican follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Democratic about a 97.3% chance. Republican follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-01 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the conclusion of the voting process in that district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
D
Democratic
97%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket99¢
Kalshi1.01x100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.6%94¢100¢1¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.0%98¢99¢1¢3¢
R
Republican
2%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket2¢
Kalshi15.87x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.4%0¢6¢94¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.4%0¢2¢98¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Democratic

97.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MO-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the MO-01 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

Which platforms are tracking the MO-01 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MO-01 House winner market.

What factors influence the odds for the MO-01 House race?

Odds may fluctuate based on candidate announcements, polling data, and campaign events leading up to the election.

What does the MO-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MO-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Democratic: 96.6¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket; Republican: 3.4¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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