Live prediction market odds for MO-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Live prediction market odds for MO-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Democratic about a 97.3% chance. Republican follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Traders give Democratic about a 97.3% chance. Republican follows at 2.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-01 House race. The market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, following the conclusion of the voting process in that district.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi
PolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Democratic
97.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MO-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MO-01 House winner market.
Odds may fluctuate based on candidate announcements, polling data, and campaign events leading up to the election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Democratic: 96.6¢ on Kalshi, 98.0¢ on Polymarket; Republican: 3.4¢ on Kalshi, 1.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.