Live prediction market odds for MO-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Fred Wellman (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-02 House race.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-02 House race. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, when voters cast their ballots in this congressional election, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and candidate activities leading up to the date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Fred Wellman (D)WINNER | Yes |
Ann Wagner (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MO-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MO-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date.
Odds are affected by campaign events, candidate announcements, and polling data as the election date approaches.
The winner is determined by the total votes received in the election, with the candidate receiving the most votes declared the winner.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
