What is the date of the MO-03 House election?

The MO-03 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.

How do prediction markets determine odds for the MO-03 House winner?

Odds for the MO-03 House winner are influenced by various factors, including candidate campaigns, polling data, and local issues. As these elements change, so do the market prices reflecting the likelihood of each candidate's success.

What platforms are tracking the MO-03 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MO-03 House winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments in the election race.

What does the MO-03 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MO-03 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 93.8¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; Democratic: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do MO-03 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do MO-03 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Republican at 93.9¢ implies about a 93.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.