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Live prediction market odds for MO-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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MO-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Chris Stigall (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USJosh Smead (D)6¢16.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Chris Stigall (R) about a 93.6% chance. Josh Smead (D) follows at 5.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Chris Stigall (R) about a 93.6% chance. Josh Smead (D) follows at 5.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-06 House race. The market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CS
Chris Stigall (R)
94%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
93.2%93¢96¢4¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.0%92¢94¢6¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
JS
Josh Smead (D)
6%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%4¢7¢93¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Chris Stigall (R)

Chris Stigall is a conservative talk radio host and podcast personality. He previously hosted "Philadelphia's Morning Answer" on AM 990 The Answer and "The Chris Stigall Show" on the Salem News Channel. He is running for Congress in Missouri's 6th District, seeking to represent northern Missouri.

About Josh Smead (D)

Josh Smead is a licensed architect and small business owner in Liberty, Missouri. He co-owns Liberty Design Development and has worked on large-scale sports architecture projects. He is the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 6th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Chris Stigall (R)

93.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MO-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MO-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MO-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the date of the election for MO-06 House winner?

The election for the MO-06 House winner is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when the market will officially resolve.

How do odds change in the MO-06 House race market?

Odds in the MO-06 House race market change based on various factors, including candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter engagement. These dynamics can lead to significant fluctuations as the election date approaches.

What determines the resolution of the MO-06 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026. Only the declared winner will determine the outcome of the market.

What does the MO-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MO-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Chris Stigall (R): 93.2¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; Josh Smead (D): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

MO-06 Republican nominee?WONPre-event: 70%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

MO-06 Republican nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-04

WONChris Stigall (R)
Pre-event: 70%