Live prediction market odds for MO-06 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Chris Stigall (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-06 House race.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MO-06 House race. The market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to that date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Chris Stigall (R)WINNER | Yes |
Josh Smead (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MO-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MO-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The election for the MO-06 House winner is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when the market will officially resolve.
Odds in the MO-06 House race market change based on various factors, including candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter engagement. These dynamics can lead to significant fluctuations as the election date approaches.
The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the voting concludes on November 3, 2026. Only the declared winner will determine the outcome of the market.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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