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Live prediction market odds for MO-06 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi

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Chris Stigall Wins: MO-06 Republican nominee?

Resolved 2026-08-04

This market resolved on 2026-08-04. Chris Stigall was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee in Missouri's 6th congressional district.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee in Missouri's 6th congressional district. This nomination is crucial as it could influence party dynamics and strategies leading up to the 2026 elections.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

1 platform
Candidate
Kalshi
Chris StigallWINNER
99%
Cody Oshel
1%
Jim Ingram
1%
Nathan Willett
2%
Nathanael Schultz
1%

Candidate Spotlight

About Cody Oshel

Cody Oshel is a Republican candidate for Missouri's 6th Congressional District. He has served as a senior pastor in the Missouri United Methodist Church and currently works in strategic growth partnerships at Thrivent Financial. Oshel is committed to addressing rural health care challenges and expanding internet access for agricultural communities.

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates5
Winner

Chris Stigall

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MO-06 Republican nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Nathan Hall Willett wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MO-06 Republican nominee?

Odds are influenced by candidate polling, fundraising efforts, and endorsements. Additionally, local political dynamics and national trends can affect voter sentiment.

When is the election for the MO-06 Republican nominee?

The election for the Republican nominee in Missouri's 6th district is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This primary will determine the candidate who will run in the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as political nominations. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

What does the MO-06 Republican nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available MO-06 Republican nominee odds?

The last available prices are Chris Stigall: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Cody Oshel: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Jim Ingram: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Nathan Willett: 2.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Willett Drops to 12% in MO-06 Primary After $165K Finance AllegationsThe Kansas City councilman's nomination odds fell from 20% to 12% in three days; he now sits below all four rivals in a five-way August 4 primary.Aug 2, 2026Oshel Falls to 4% in MO-06 Primary After June Spike Proved HollowStigall leads at 71% on Polymarket; Oshel's June spike to 17.6% has fully reversed with six days until the August 4 primary.Jul 29, 2026Will Willett Win MO-06? Finance Allegations Slash His Odds to 20%A $165,000 pass-through complaint filed July 21 cut Nathan Willett's primary odds from 33% to 20%, leaving him 11 days to respond before August 4.Jul 24, 2026Willett Drops 22 Points to 23% in MO-06 Primary With No Visible CatalystWillett sits at 24% on Kalshi and 22% on Polymarket after a 72-hour collapse, despite a Missouri Farm Bureau endorsement and no public opposition research.Jul 20, 2026
No price history available