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Live prediction market odds for Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Above 500K45¢2.22xKalshiAbove 530K33¢3.03xKalshiAbove 560K23¢4.35xKalshi
Compare all 9 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 500K about a 48.0% chance. Above 530K follows at 28.5%, Above 560K follows at 22.0%, and Above 620K follows at 7.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.

Traders give Above 500K about a 48.0% chance. Above 530K follows at 28.5%, Above 560K follows at 22.0%, and Above 620K follows at 7.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking voter turnout for the Montana Senate General Election. High turnout could indicate strong voter engagement and influence the election's outcome, making it a key metric for analysts and political strategists.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
A5
Above 500K
48%
Kalshi45¢
Polymarket US54¢
—
Kalshi2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
43.0%36¢45¢55¢64¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
53.0%35¢54¢46¢65¢
A5
Above 530K
single venue29%
Kalshi33¢
—
—
Kalshi3.03x33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
28.5%24¢33¢67¢76¢
A5
Above 560K
single venue22%
Kalshi23¢
—
—
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%14¢23¢77¢86¢
A6
Above 620K
single venue8%
Kalshi12¢
—
—
Kalshi8.33x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%3¢12¢88¢97¢
A5
Above 590K
single venue7%
Kalshi16¢
—
—
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%7¢16¢84¢93¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread10.0%
Platforms3
Candidates9
Leader

Above 500K

48.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the total vote count for all participants in Montana Senate General Election is above 500000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Montana is above 600,000 (600K). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is voter turnout significant in the Montana Senate General Election?

Voter turnout is a critical indicator of public engagement and can sway election results. Higher turnout often benefits certain demographics and influences campaign strategies.

What factors can affect voter turnout in this election?

Factors include voter mobilization efforts, the competitiveness of the race, and key issues impacting voters. Weather conditions on election day may also play a role.

How do prediction markets gauge voter turnout?

Prediction markets aggregate bets on various turnout thresholds, reflecting collective expectations. Changes in odds indicate shifts in public sentiment and anticipated voter engagement.

What does the Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout odds?

The latest available prices are Above 500K: 43.0¢ on Kalshi, 53.0¢ on Polymarket US; Above 530K: 28.5¢ on Kalshi; Above 560K: 22.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 620K: 7.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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