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Live prediction market odds for MS-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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MS-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Trent Kelly (R)94¢1.06xPolymarket USCliff Johnson (D)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Trent Kelly (R) about a 95.1% chance. Cliff Johnson (D) follows at 3.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Traders give Trent Kelly (R) about a 95.1% chance. Cliff Johnson (D) follows at 3.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MS-01 House election. This market resolves based on the official results announced after the election on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigning and voter sentiment leading up to the date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TK
Trent Kelly (R)
95%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US94¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.06x94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.4%94¢97¢4¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
93.5%93¢94¢6¢7¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
CJ
Cliff Johnson (D)
4%
Kalshi6¢
—
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi17.86x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.6%2¢6¢94¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Trent Kelly (R)

Trent Kelly is the U.S. Representative for Mississippi's 1st congressional district, serving since 2015. Before entering Congress, he was the district attorney for Mississippi's 1st Judicial District from 2012 to 2015. His extensive experience in law and public service makes him a key figure in Mississippi's political landscape.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Trent Kelly (R)

95.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MS-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for MS-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MS-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the MS-01 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the official election results are announced.

What factors influence the odds for the MS-01 House election?

Odds are affected by candidate campaigning, voter sentiment, and any significant news related to the election leading up to the date.

Which platforms are tracking the MS-01 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election market.

What does the MS-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MS-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Trent Kelly (R): 96.4¢ on Kalshi, 95.5¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cliff Johnson (D): 3.6¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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