Live prediction market odds for MS-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Bennie Thompson (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MS-02 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MS-02 House election. The election will be decided on November 3, 2026, and odds fluctuate based on candidate campaigning, fundraising, and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Bennie Thompson (D)WINNER | Yes |
Ron Eller (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MS-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MS-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The MS-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will cast their ballots to determine the winner.
Odds in the MS-02 House election markets are influenced by candidate campaigning, fundraising efforts, and public opinion polls. Changes in these factors can lead to fluctuations in market prices.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the MS-02 House election. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
