Live prediction market odds for MT-02 House winner?. Compare prices across .
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Troy Downing (R) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-02 House election.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-02 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, when voters cast their ballots in this congressional race, impacting the overall balance of power in the House of Representatives.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Troy Downing (R)WINNER | Yes |
Brian Miller (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the MT-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The MT-02 House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is when voters will decide their representative.
Odds for the MT-02 House winner are influenced by polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign events leading up to the election. Changes in voter sentiment can also impact market prices.
Prediction markets resolve based on the official results of the MT-02 House election. The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes on election day.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
