About This Market
Traders give Troy Downing (R) about a 95.2% chance. Brian Miller (D) follows at 4.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Traders give Troy Downing (R) about a 95.2% chance. Brian Miller (D) follows at 4.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the MT-02 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, when voters cast their ballots in this congressional race, impacting the overall balance of power in the House of Representatives.
