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Live prediction market odds for NC-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / PredictIt

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NC-01 House winner?

2026-11-04

Best price · tap to trade

Don Davis (D)62¢1.61xKalshiLaurie Buckhout (R)40¢2.50xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Don Davis (D) about a 62.2% chance. Laurie Buckhout (R) follows at 38.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.0 percentage points.

Traders give Don Davis (D) about a 62.2% chance. Laurie Buckhout (R) follows at 38.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NC-01 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party control in Congress and shape legislative priorities, making it a critical race to watch.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
PredictIt
Best price
DD
Don Davis (D)ARB
62%
Kalshi62¢
Polymarket US63¢
Polymarket63¢
PredictIt57¢
Kalshi1.61x62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
61.0%60¢62¢38¢40¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
63.0%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PredictItPredictIt
55.0%54¢57¢43¢46¢
LB
Laurie Buckhout (R)ARB
39%
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket US40¢
Polymarket38¢
PredictIt37¢
Kalshi2.50x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
40.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
39.0%39¢40¢60¢61¢
PolymarketPolymarket
37.5%37¢38¢62¢63¢
PredictItPredictIt
35.0%34¢37¢63¢66¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Don Davis (D)

Don Davis is the U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 1st congressional district, serving since January 3, 2023. He previously served in the North Carolina Senate from 2009 to 2011 and 2013 to 2023. Davis has been appointed to the House Committees on Agriculture and Armed Services, focusing on agriculture policy and military readiness.

About Laurie Buckhout (R)

Laurie Buckhout is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy. She commanded a battalion task force during the 2003 invasion of Iraq and founded Corvus Consulting, specializing in electronic warfare and cyberspace operations. Buckhout is currently the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 House election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Don Davis (D)

62.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-01 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the NC-01 House race?

Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play a significant role in shaping market expectations.

How does the NC-01 House race impact national politics?

The NC-01 House race is crucial as it could determine which party gains a seat in Congress, affecting the balance of power. A shift in control can lead to changes in legislative agendas and priorities.

When will the NC-01 House election take place?

The election for the NC-01 House seat is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which will include various federal and state races.

What does the NC-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Don Davis (D): 61.0¢ on Kalshi, 62.5¢ on Polymarket, 55.0¢ on PredictIt, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US; Laurie Buckhout (R): 40.0¢ on Kalshi, 37.5¢ on Polymarket, 35.0¢ on PredictIt, 39.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Buckhout's NC-01 Odds Fall to 38%, Erasing Most of Her Primary BounceRepublican odds in NC-01 dropped from 48% to 38% in three days. Davis remains the narrow favorite as no public polls have emerged.Sep 20, 2026Buckhout Wins NC-01 GOP Primary as Republican Odds Hit 48%CBS projected Buckhout as the GOP nominee in a redrawn NC-01, pushing Republican odds from 36% to 48% in three days. Davis now faces a near coin-flip race.Sep 18, 2026Buckhout Falls to 36% in NC-01 Despite a 55% Trump DistrictRepublican chances in NC-01 dropped 13 points in three days. A 38.7% primary win and a $1.8M cash deficit may explain the selloff.Sep 15, 2026Democrats Drop NC-01 Nominee, Buckhout Hits 50% on Prediction MarketsRepublican Laurie Buckhout reaches 50% implied probability in NC-01 after Democratic Party abandons its House nominee, leaving a zero-funded Libertarian as her only opponent.Sep 13, 2026