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Live prediction market odds for NC-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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NC-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Deborah Ross (D)97¢1.03xPolymarket USRepublican3¢33.33xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Deborah Ross (D) about a 95.6% chance. Republican follows at 3.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Traders give Deborah Ross (D) about a 95.6% chance. Republican follows at 3.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.8 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-02 House race. This market resolves based on the official election results on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
DR
Deborah Ross (D)
96%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket95¢
Polymarket US1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.3%94¢98¢2¢6¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
R
Republican
3%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket4¢
Polymarket US33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%1¢7¢93¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
3.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.2%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Deborah Ross (D)

Deborah Ross is the U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, serving her third term in the 119th Congress. She previously served in the North Carolina House of Representatives from 2003 to 2013. Ross is recognized for her leadership on committees such as Judiciary, Ethics, and Science, Space, and Technology, and has a strong track record in advancing legislation on women's health, clean energy, and immigration reform.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.8%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Deborah Ross (D)

95.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: NC-02 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for NC-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-02 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will the NC-02 House race be decided?

The NC-02 House race will be decided on November 3, 2026. This date marks the general election when voters will cast their ballots.

What factors influence the odds in this market?

Odds in this market are influenced by candidate campaign activities, polling data, and voter sentiment as the election date approaches. Changes in public opinion and endorsements can also affect the odds.

How is the winner of the NC-02 House race determined?

The winner is determined by the official election results reported after the polls close on November 3, 2026. The candidate with the most votes will be declared the winner.

What does the NC-02 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest NC-02 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Deborah Ross (D): 96.3¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Republican: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.2¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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